Palisade Research - Thu, Nov 3, 2016

This Pullback In Gold Is Over - Or Is It?

picture of a shiny bar of gold

No matter what anyone tells you, we are still in a gold bull market. Gold stocks will oscillate higher and pull-backs along the way are healthy. In fact, it appears the most recent correction is already over, even though another 2 months of negative returns would not have been out of the ordinary:

line chart of the $HUI gold index back to 2011 and selected corrections within gold bull markets

The idea for this chart was given to us by our good friend, Jordan Roy-Byrne, of The Daily Gold. Please visit and subscribe to his site for professional guidance in riding the uptrend in gold.

Looking at past corrections, the average duration was 80 days, losing ~30% during that period. In our recent correction, we did indeed bottom out at -30% after only 44 days. In our opinion, these oscillations are buying opportunities and given where we are currently, the window will close fairly quickly.

In our article, How Low Can Gold Go? The Gold Shakeout Continues, Stay The Course!, we urged our readers to stay the course and maintain long positions in gold. And again, we reiterate the same thing. The current pullback is minor compared to the scale and duration of bull market we are in. Do not get shaken out.

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