Clive Maund - Sun, Feb 18, 2018

Silver is 'Off the Radar' But Shouldn't Be

Silver has zero appeal for momentum traders now, but technical analyst Clive Maund believes that is going to change.

Silver is completely "off the radar" for most investors right now, which is just the way we like it when we are buying, however, as we will see, there are good reasons to believe that this will not be the case for much longer.

On its latest 8-year chart we can see why silver has zero appeal for momentum traders now—it ain't goin' nowhere, or so it would seem, if you project past performance into the future, but as we have repeatedly observed in recent months, it is marking out a giant Head-and-Shoulders bottom, which is quite heavily disguised compared to the concurrent flat topped H&S bottom forming in gold, because it is downsloping. A key bullish point to observe on this chart is the steady volume buildup over the past two years, which is a sign that it is building up to a major bull market. This hasn't had much effect on volume indicators so far, but such is not the case with gold, where a more marked volume buildup has driven volume indicators strongly higher so that they recently made new highs, which bodes well not just for gold, but obviously for silver, too.

Moving on to observe recent action in more detail on the 6-month chart, we see that silver dropped back further than predicted in the last update, which is hardly surprising considering what happened to the broad stock market. No technical damage was incurred, however, and it has already clawed back a part of the loss. What now?—like gold, silver may drop back again short-term on another modest dollar rally, which appeared to have started on Friday, and any such drop will be viewed as presenting another opportunity to accumulate more silver and silver related investments, especially given silver's latest COTs, which are "flat-out bullish" as we will now proceed to see.

The latest COTs show that the Large Specs have "thrown in the towel" on silver and gone home—great!—that's what we like to see. This extremely low level of Large Spec long positions is very bullish indeed for silver and also implies that gold could soon rally too, despite its COTs not being so positive, although as mentioned above both metals are likely to have to weather a modest dollar rally first.


Click on chart to pop-up a larger, clearer version.

In summary, whilst a minor short-term dip on a modest dollar rally looks likely, silver's chart are very bullish overall as it appears to be readying to break out of it giant Head-and-Shoulders bottom. Any near-term weakness will therefore be viewed as presenting an excellent and possibly final chance to accumulate silver and especially silver stocks at very low prices ahead of major sectorwide bull market commencing.

Clive Maund has been president of www.clivemaund.com, a successful resource sector website, since its inception in 2003. He has 30 years' experience in technical analysis and has worked for banks, commodity brokers and stockbrokers in the City of London. He holds a Diploma in Technical Analysis from the UK Society of Technical Analysts.

Disclosure:
1) Statements and opinions expressed are the opinions of Clive Maund and not of Streetwise Reports or its officers. Clive Maund is wholly responsible for the validity of the statements. Streetwise Reports was not involved in the content preparation. Clive Maund was not paid by Streetwise Reports LLC for this article. Streetwise Reports was not paid by the author to publish or syndicate this article.
2) This article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility. By opening this page, each reader accepts and agrees to Streetwise Reports' terms of use and full legal disclaimer. This article is not a solicitation for investment. Streetwise Reports does not render general or specific investment advice and the information on Streetwise Reports should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Streetwise Reports does not endorse or recommend the business, products, services or securities of any company mentioned on Streetwise Reports.

Charts provided by the author.

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